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Manchester City v Liverpool, Premier League 2018–19

Man CityManchester City

Agüero 40'Sané 72'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 0.6 to 1.2

Full time

LiverpoolLiverpool

Firmino 64'

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 47%, draw 27%, Liverpool win 26%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Liverpool
Man CityLiverpool
0.61.2
2Goals1
0.91.8