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Manchester City v Newcastle United, Premier League 2018–19

Man CityManchester City

Sterling 8'Walker 52'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 2.3 to 0.3

Full time

NewcastleNewcastle United

Yedlin 30'

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 81%, draw 14%, Newcastle win 5%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Newcastle
Man CityNewcastle
2.30.3
2Goals1
2.60.3