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Manchester United v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2018–19

Man UnitedManchester United

Pogba 5', 33'Rashford 45'Lukaku 72'

Final score 4 to 1

Expected goals 1.8 to 0.6

Full time

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Aké 45+2'

Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 61%, draw 21%, Bournemouth win 18%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Bournemouth
Man UnitedBournemouth
1.80.6
4Goals1
2.20.6