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Manchester United v Chelsea, Premier League 2018–19

Man UnitedManchester United

Mata 11'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.7 to 1.7

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Alonso 43'

Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 42%, draw 26%, Chelsea win 32%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Chelsea
Man UnitedChelsea
0.71.7
1Goals1
0.72.1