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Manchester United v Leicester City, Premier League 2018–19

Man UnitedManchester United

Pogba 3' penaltyShaw 83'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.2 to 1.0

Full time

LeicesterLeicester City

Vardy 90+2'

Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 56%, draw 26%, Leicester win 18%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 10. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Leicester
Man UnitedLeicester
1.21.0
2Goals1
1.51.2