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Newcastle United v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2018–19

NewcastleNewcastle United

Rondón 7', 39'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.8 to 1.3

Full time

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Lerma 45+6'

Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 38%, draw 29%, Bournemouth win 33%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 10. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Newcastle and Bournemouth
NewcastleBournemouth
1.81.3
2Goals1
1.81.0