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Newcastle United v Southampton, Premier League 2018–19

NewcastleNewcastle United

Pérez 27', 31', 86'

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 1.8 to 1.3

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Lemina 59'

Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 39%, draw 29%, Southampton win 32%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 20. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Newcastle and Southampton
NewcastleSouthampton
1.81.3
3Goals1
1.71.0