Southampton v Arsenal, Premier League 2018–19
SouthamptonSouthampton
Ings 20', 44'Austin 85'
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 0.7 to 1.4
ArsenalArsenal
Mkhitaryan 28', 53'
- Date Sunday, December 16, 2018
- Premier League 2018–19
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 16. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Southampton win 28%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 46%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Southampton | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 0.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.9 | ||