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Southampton v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2018–19

SouthamptonSouthampton

Long 12'Ward-Prowse 55'Targett 67'

Final score 3 to 3

Expected goals 2.5 to 2.2

Full time

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Gosling 20'Wilson 32', 86'

Win chances: Southampton favored. Southampton win 50%, draw 24%, Bournemouth win 26%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Bournemouth
SouthamptonBournemouth
2.52.2
3Goals3
1.61.3