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Southampton v Cardiff City, Premier League 2018–19

SouthamptonSouthampton

Stephens 90+1'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 1.6 to 0.9

Full time

CardiffCardiff City

Bamba 69'Zohore 90+3'

Win chances: Southampton favored. Southampton win 53%, draw 26%, Cardiff win 21%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 9. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Cardiff
SouthamptonCardiff
1.60.9
1Goals2
1.90.8