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Southampton v Chelsea, Premier League 2018–19

SouthamptonSouthampton

Final score 0 to 3

Expected goals 1.4 to 2.5

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Hazard 30'Barkley 57'Morata 90+3'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Southampton win 24%, draw 30%, Chelsea win 46%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 7. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Chelsea
SouthamptonChelsea
1.42.5
0Goals3
0.82.0