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Southampton v Manchester City, Premier League 2018–19

SouthamptonSouthampton

Højbjerg 37'

Final score 1 to 3

Expected goals 0.4 to 1.7

Full time

Man CityManchester City

Silva 10'Ward-Prowse 45' (OG)Agüero 45+3'

Win chances: Man City favored. Southampton win 13%, draw 20%, Man City win 67%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Man City
SouthamptonMan City
0.41.7
1Goals3
0.42.4