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Southampton v Manchester United, Premier League 2018–19

SouthamptonSouthampton

Armstrong 13'Cédric 20'

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 0.8 to 1.3

Full time

Man UnitedManchester United

Lukaku 33'Herrera 39'

Win chances: Man United favored. Southampton win 30%, draw 29%, Man United win 41%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Man United
SouthamptonMan United
0.81.3
2Goals2
0.91.8