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Watford v Arsenal, Premier League 2018–19

WatfordWatford

Final score 0 to 1

Expected goals 0.8 to 1.8

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Aubameyang 10'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Watford win 34%, draw 24%, Arsenal win 42%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 15. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Watford and Arsenal
WatfordArsenal
0.81.8
0Goals1
0.72.1