Arsenal v Aston Villa, Premier League 2019–20
ArsenalArsenal
Pépé 59' penaltyChambers 81'Aubameyang 84'
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 2.7 to 1.2
Aston VillaAston Villa
McGinn 20'Wesley 60'
- Date Sunday, September 22, 2019
- Premier League 2019–20
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 22. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 61%, draw 23%, Aston Villa win 16%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.2 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||