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Arsenal v Burnley, Premier League 2019–20

ArsenalArsenal

Lacazette 13'Aubameyang 64'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.5 to 1.3

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Barnes 43'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 63%, draw 20%, Burnley win 17%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Burnley
ArsenalBurnley
1.51.3
2Goals1
1.51.3