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Arsenal v Southampton, Premier League 2019–20

ArsenalArsenal

Lacazette 18', 90+6'

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 1.6 to 2.7

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Ings 8'Ward-Prowse 71'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 58%, draw 22%, Southampton win 20%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 23. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Southampton
ArsenalSouthampton
1.62.7
2Goals2
0.82.0