Aston Villa v Burnley, Premier League 2019–20
Aston VillaAston Villa
El Ghazi 33'McGinn 79'
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 1.2 to 1.4
BurnleyBurnley
Rodríguez 68'Wood 81'
- Date Saturday, September 28, 2019
- Premier League 2019–20
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 28. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 40%, draw 29%, Burnley win 31%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||