Burnley v Aston Villa, Premier League 2019–20
BurnleyBurnley
Wood 80'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 2.1 to 1.2
Aston VillaAston Villa
Wesley 27'Grealish 41'
- Date Wednesday, January 1, 2020
- Premier League 2019–20
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 1. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Burnley favored. Burnley win 51%, draw 24%, Aston Villa win 25%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.2 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||