Leicester City v Aston Villa, Premier League 2019–20
LeicesterLeicester City
Barnes 40', 85'Vardy 63' penalty, 79'
Final score 4 to 0
Expected goals 2.1 to 0.5
Aston VillaAston Villa
- Date Monday, March 9, 2020
- Premier League 2019–20
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 9. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Leicester favored. Leicester win 72%, draw 16%, Aston Villa win 12%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 9. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Leicester | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.4 | ||