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Newcastle United v Arsenal, Premier League 2019–20

NewcastleNewcastle United

Final score 0 to 1

Expected goals 0.6 to 1.1

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Aubameyang 58'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Newcastle win 33%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 41%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Newcastle and Arsenal
NewcastleArsenal
0.61.1
0Goals1
0.91.7