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Southampton v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2019–20

SouthamptonSouthampton

Ward-Prowse 53' penalty

Final score 1 to 3

Expected goals 2.7 to 0.5

Full time

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Aké 10'Wilson 35', 90+5'

Win chances: Southampton favored. Southampton win 49%, draw 23%, Bournemouth win 28%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 20. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Bournemouth
SouthamptonBournemouth
2.70.5
1Goals3
2.60.3