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Watford v Chelsea, Premier League 2019–20

WatfordWatford

Deulofeu 80' penalty

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 1.6 to 1.7

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Abraham 5'Pulisic 55'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Watford win 21%, draw 24%, Chelsea win 55%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Watford and Chelsea
WatfordChelsea
1.61.7
1Goals2
1.31.4