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West Ham United v Arsenal, Premier League 2019–20

West HamWest Ham United

Ogbonna 38'

Final score 1 to 3

Expected goals 0.8 to 1.2

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Martinelli 60'Pépé 66'Aubameyang 69'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. West Ham win 32%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 43%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 9. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, West Ham and Arsenal
West HamArsenal
0.81.2
1Goals3
1.01.7