Arsenal v Chelsea, Premier League 2020–21
ArsenalArsenal
Lacazette 35' penaltyXhaka 44'Saka 56'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 2.0 to 2.1
ChelseaChelsea
Abraham 85'
- Date Saturday, December 26, 2020
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Arsenal win 24%, draw 26%, Chelsea win 50%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Chelsea | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.1 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||