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Arsenal v Leeds United, Premier League 2020–21

ArsenalArsenal

Aubameyang 13', 41' penalty, 47'Bellerín 45'

Final score 4 to 2

Expected goals 1.9 to 0.7

Full time

LeedsLeeds United

Struijk 58'Costa 69'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 49%, draw 23%, Leeds win 28%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 14. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Leeds
ArsenalLeeds
1.90.7
4Goals2
2.20.6