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Arsenal v Sheffield United, Premier League 2020–21

ArsenalArsenal

Saka 61'Pépé 64'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 0.5 to 0.2

Full time

Sheffield UnitedSheffield United

McGoldrick 84'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 49%, draw 26%, Sheffield United win 25%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Sheffield United
ArsenalSheffield United
0.50.2
2Goals1
1.60.9