Aston Villa v Liverpool, Premier League 2020–21
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 4', 22', 39'McGinn 35'Barkley 55'Grealish 66', 75'
Final score 7 to 2
Expected goals 2.0 to 1.4
LiverpoolLiverpool
Salah 33', 60'
- Date Sunday, October 4, 2020
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Aston Villa win 15%, draw 20%, Liverpool win 65%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Liverpool | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 7 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||