Aston Villa v Southampton, Premier League 2020–21
Aston VillaAston Villa
Mings 62'Watkins 90+3' penaltyGrealish 90+7'
Final score 3 to 4
Expected goals 2.2 to 0.7
SouthamptonSouthampton
Vestergaard 20'Ward-Prowse 33', 45'Ings 58'
- Date Sunday, November 1, 2020
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 1. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Southampton favored. Aston Villa win 36%, draw 25%, Southampton win 39%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Southampton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||