Aston Villa v West Bromwich Albion, Premier League 2020–21
Aston VillaAston Villa
El Ghazi 9' penaltyDavis 90+2'
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 3.0 to 1.3
West BromWest Bromwich Albion
Pereira 23' penaltyMings 47' (OG)
- Date Sunday, April 25, 2021
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 25. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 61%, draw 22%, West Brom win 17%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 25. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | West Brom | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.3 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||