Burnley v Arsenal, Premier League 2020–21
BurnleyBurnley
Wood 39'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 0.7 to 1.7
ArsenalArsenal
Aubameyang 6'
- Date Saturday, March 6, 2021
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 6. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Burnley win 26%, draw 28%, Arsenal win 46%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 6. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.7 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.1 | ||