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Burnley v Everton, Premier League 2020–21

BurnleyBurnley

Brady 3'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.9 to 1.4

Full time

EvertonEverton

Calvert-Lewin 45+3'

Win chances: Everton favored. Burnley win 32%, draw 27%, Everton win 41%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Burnley and Everton
BurnleyEverton
0.91.4
1Goals1
1.01.7