Burnley v Newcastle United, Premier League 2020–21
BurnleyBurnley
Vydra 18'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 2.6 to 1.1
NewcastleNewcastle United
Murphy 59'Saint-Maximin 64'
- Date Sunday, April 11, 2021
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 11. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Burnley favored. Burnley win 40%, draw 29%, Newcastle win 31%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.1 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||