Chelsea v Arsenal, Premier League 2020–21
ChelseaChelsea
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 1.7 to 0.4
ArsenalArsenal
Smith Rowe 16'
- Date Wednesday, May 12, 2021
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 12. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 54%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 20%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.4 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.4 | ||