Chelsea v Aston Villa, Premier League 2020–21
ChelseaChelsea
Giroud 34'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.5 to 1.0
Aston VillaAston Villa
El Ghazi 50'
- Date Monday, December 28, 2020
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 28. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 57%, draw 23%, Aston Villa win 20%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||