Chelsea v Southampton, Premier League 2020–21
ChelseaChelsea
Werner 15', 28'Havertz 59'
Final score 3 to 3
Expected goals 1.2 to 1.5
SouthamptonSouthampton
Ings 43'Adams 57'Vestergaard 90+2'
- Date Saturday, October 17, 2020
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 17. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 60%, draw 21%, Southampton win 19%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Southampton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||