Crystal Palace v Aston Villa, Premier League 2020–21
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Benteke 32'Zaha 76'Mitchell 84'
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 1.9 to 1.6
Aston VillaAston Villa
McGinn 17'El Ghazi 34'
- Date Sunday, May 16, 2021
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 16. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Crystal Palace win 26%, draw 28%, Aston Villa win 46%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Crystal Palace | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.6 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||