Everton v Arsenal, Premier League 2020–21
EvertonEverton
Holding 22' (OG)Mina 45'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 0.6 to 1.4
ArsenalArsenal
Pépé 35' penalty
- Date Saturday, December 19, 2020
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 19. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 43%, draw 27%, Arsenal win 30%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Everton | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.9 | ||