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Everton v Arsenal, Premier League 2020–21

EvertonEverton

Holding 22' (OG)Mina 45'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 0.6 to 1.4

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Pépé 35' penalty

Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 43%, draw 27%, Arsenal win 30%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Everton and Arsenal
EvertonArsenal
0.61.4
2Goals1
0.81.9