Everton v Aston Villa, Premier League 2020–21
EvertonEverton
Calvert-Lewin 19'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 1.1 to 1.1
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 13'El Ghazi 80'
- Date Saturday, May 1, 2021
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 1. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 41%, draw 27%, Aston Villa win 32%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Everton | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.1 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.4 | ||