Leicester City v Arsenal, Premier League 2020–21
LeicesterLeicester City
Tielemans 6'
Final score 1 to 3
Expected goals 0.6 to 2.1
ArsenalArsenal
Luiz 39'Lacazette 45+2' penaltyPépé 52'
- Date Sunday, February 28, 2021
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 28. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Leicester favored. Leicester win 44%, draw 27%, Arsenal win 29%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Leicester | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.1 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 0.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.3 | ||