Leicester City v Aston Villa, Premier League 2020–21
LeicesterLeicester City
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 0.7 to 1.0
Aston VillaAston Villa
Barkley 90+1'
- Date Sunday, October 18, 2020
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Leicester favored. Leicester win 55%, draw 23%, Aston Villa win 22%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Leicester | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||