Liverpool v Burnley, Premier League 2020–21
LiverpoolLiverpool
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 1.9 to 1.3
BurnleyBurnley
Barnes 83' penalty
- Date Thursday, January 21, 2021
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 21. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 68%, draw 20%, Burnley win 12%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Liverpool | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.3 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||