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Manchester City v Arsenal, Premier League 2020–21

Man CityManchester City

Sterling 23'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 1.2 to 1.0

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 72%, draw 16%, Arsenal win 12%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Arsenal
Man CityArsenal
1.21.0
1Goals0
1.51.2