Manchester City v Aston Villa, Premier League 2020–21
Man CityManchester City
Silva 79'Gündogan 90' penalty
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 3.7 to 0.9
Aston VillaAston Villa
- Date Wednesday, January 20, 2021
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 20. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 71%, draw 18%, Aston Villa win 11%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 20. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.2 | ||