Manchester City v Southampton, Premier League 2020–21
Man CityManchester City
De Bruyne 15', 59'Mahrez 40', 55'Gündogan 45+3'
Final score 5 to 2
Expected goals 1.9 to 1.5
SouthamptonSouthampton
Ward-Prowse 25' penaltyAdams 56'
- Date Wednesday, March 10, 2021
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 10. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 77%, draw 15%, Southampton win 8%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 10. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Southampton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.5 | ||
| 5 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||