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Manchester United v Arsenal, Premier League 2020–21

Man UnitedManchester United

Final score 0 to 1

Expected goals 0.5 to 1.2

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Aubameyang 69' penalty

Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 50%, draw 24%, Arsenal win 26%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Arsenal
Man UnitedArsenal
0.51.2
0Goals1
0.81.8