Manchester United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2020–21
Man UnitedManchester United
Martial 40'Fernandes 61' penalty
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 2.0 to 1.4
Aston VillaAston Villa
Traoré 58'
- Date Friday, January 1, 2021
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 1. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 52%, draw 24%, Aston Villa win 24%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man United | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||