Newcastle United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2020–21
NewcastleNewcastle United
Lascelles 90+4'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.0 to 0.7
Aston VillaAston Villa
Clark 86' (OG)
- Date Friday, March 12, 2021
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 12. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Newcastle win 27%, draw 26%, Aston Villa win 47%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||