Newcastle United v Burnley, Premier League 2020–21
NewcastleNewcastle United
Saint-Maximin 14'Wilson 65', 77' penalty
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 1.5 to 0.7
BurnleyBurnley
Westwood 61'
- Date Saturday, October 3, 2020
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 3. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Burnley favored. Newcastle win 33%, draw 28%, Burnley win 39%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||