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Newcastle United v Everton, Premier League 2020–21

NewcastleNewcastle United

Wilson 56' penalty, 84'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 2.0 to 1.7

Full time

EvertonEverton

Calvert-Lewin 90+1'

Win chances: Everton favored. Newcastle win 27%, draw 26%, Everton win 47%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Newcastle and Everton
NewcastleEverton
2.01.7
2Goals1
1.61.2